Funnel vs non Funnel Calculation

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Here’s a breakdown comparing a funnel setup vs. a single product offer — both starting with a $49 product.


1. Funnel Setup

  • Front-end product: $49
  • Order bump: $27 (optional add-on at checkout)
  • Upsell: $97 (shown after initial purchase)
  • Downsell: $67 (if upsell is declined)

Let’s assume 100 customers go through the funnel.

Conversion assumptions:

  • 100 buy the $49 front-end
  • 40% take the bump = 40 x $27 = $1,080
  • 20% take the $97 upsell = 20 x $97 = $1,940
  • 30% of those who decline the upsell take the downsell
    → (100 – 20 = 80; 30% of 80 = 24)
    → 24 x $67 = $1,608

Revenue breakdown:

  • Front-end: 100 x $49 = $4,900
  • Order bump: $1,080
  • Upsell: $1,940
  • Downsell: $1,608

Total funnel revenue:
$4,900 + $1,080 + $1,940 + $1,608 = $9,528


2. Non-Funnel Setup

  • Single offer only: $49
  • 100 sales = 100 x $49 = $4,900

Summary:

FunnelNo Funnel
Average Order Value$95.28$49.00
Total Revenue$9,528$4,900

The 100 – 20 = 80 step is to calculate how many people declined the upsell.

Let me break it down clearly:

  • You have 100 buyers of the $49 product.
  • 20% accept the $97 upsell, which means 20 people take it.
  • That leaves 80 people who said no to the upsell (100 – 20 = 80).
  • Out of these 80, 30% take the $67 downsell (24 people).

So:

  • Upsell is shown first.
  • If they say no, they see the downsell.
  • That’s why we subtract the upsell buyers — the downsell is only offered to those who rejected the upsell.

Let me know if you want a version of this with different conversion rates or more offers!

Conclusion:

Using a funnel more than doubles your revenue by increasing the Average Order Value (AOV).

Even with conservative conversion rates, adding a bump, upsell, and downsell creates massive leverage.

I hope this was helpful.

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